Trump’s Polling Spike Linked To DA Arrest Rumors 

( Last week, the Trump campaign’s pollster released a new poll that shows Trump leading Joe Biden by five points in a possible 2024 rematch. 

The McLaughlin poll released last Thursday showed Trump with a 5-point lead over Biden, 48 percent to 43 percent overall while holding a 10-point lead over Biden in swing states, 51 percent to 41 percent. 

The McLaughlin poll also surveyed Republican respondents on a possible GOP primary field of 13 candidates and found the former president in the lead with 46 percent. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis came in a distant second with 23 percent. 

Trump pollster John McLaughlin appeared on Newsmax on Sunday where he said Trump’s boost in polling was likely prompted by the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office’s pending indictment in the Stormy Daniels hush money probe. 

McLaughlin told Newsmax’s “Wake Up America” that Republican voters have “totally reacted” to the pending indictment. 

McLaughlin & Associates polling holds a low C/D grade from FiveThirtyEight based on historical accuracy and methodology. Trump hired McLaughlin during the 2020 election to push back on polling that showed he was losing to Joe Biden. 

When asked why Florida Governor Ron DeSantis has not officially announced a 2024 campaign, McLaughlin said he couldn’t say what DeSantis is thinking. He said the polling shows a “very tough race” and claimed DeSantis is “splitting the base.” 

Axios reported on Sunday that two new polls by Public Opinion Strategies found that DeSantis is well-positioned in Iowa and New Hampshire. 

In head-to-head matchups between DeSantis and Trump, the Florida governor holds an 8-point in Iowa, beating Trump 45 percent to 37 percent. In New Hampshire, DeSantis and Trump are tried at 39 percent. 

In a more crowded field of possible primary candidates, DeSantis is tied with Trump in Iowa while Trump leads DeSantis in New Hampshire by 12 points. 

But when which candidate is more electable, respondents in both Iowa and New Hampshire favored DeSantis over Trump. 

In Iowa, 54 percent of Republicans believe DeSantis is more electable while only 44 percent said the same about Trump. 

In New Hampshire, 48 percent of Republicans see DeSantis as more electable while 46 percent think Trump is.