In a now-famous quote from some years ago, Trump boasted that he could kill someone on 5th Avenue and his most devoted fans would still stand by him.
On Tuesday’s “Morning Joe” episode, Eugene Robinson of the Washington Post expressed concern that former President Donald Trump may win the race in 2024.
A recent Wall Street Journal survey revealed that Trump was ahead of Biden on who had the better record, and the panel was analyzing these results. Trump also had a 10-point advantage over Biden regarding being seen as mentally able to be president. Fifty-eight percent of respondents to the survey cited a worsening economy as the primary reason for their negative outlook.
The poll has a margin of error of 3.6% and polled 1,500 people between August 24 and 30.
For a man who has been indicted four times, including once for stealing nuclear secrets and once for stealing war plans, 46% of Americans still back him, as presenter Joe Scarborough pointed out.
The left is scared.
To what extent Trump’s most devoted supporters remain with him is the most pressing issue. Approximately a third of Republican primary voters will continue to support him no matter what, as conventional wisdom would have it. Another third of voters had at least considered voting for him in the past but now have serious reservations about his candidacy. And a third have significant animus against him.
A survey by the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago and commissioned by The Associated Press found that Biden’s approval rating on the economy was only 36%, indicating that people are becoming more dissatisfied with the current White House.
How to prevent the swing votes Biden gained in 2020 from returning to Trump is the dilemma for Biden or whoever becomes the Democratic candidate.
If they didn’t believe they could beat Trump, there wouldn’t be so many Republicans running. However, many Republicans are concerned that, as in 2016, when many opponents divided the no-on-Trump vote, a wide field might favor Trump.
It’s important to recall that Trump won multiple primaries and caucuses in 2016 with far less than a majority of the vote due to the large number of contenders.
Remember that the other 2016 candidates didn’t take Trump seriously because of this. They always thought it unlikely that he would be the candidate.
Trump will not be as successful in surprising his opposition as in 2016.
Nevertheless, the left’s concern is palpable.